Apr. PEW RESEARCH CENTER AND ELON UNIVERSITY'S IMAGINING THE INTERNET CENTER. Biologists trained as electrical engineers. I am the Chief Amazement Officer at Shepard Presentations. This effect will deepen as automated systems become more prevalent and complex. This is where over three-quarters of the worlds’ population lives. Digital cooperation to serve humanity's best interests is the top priority. Mark and Ethan discuss AI and the effects it may have on society. “Will (AI) take over the business world? The transition through AI will last the next 50 years or more. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World. Some new level of regulatory and certification process will be necessary. All respondents in this non-scientific canvassing were asked to elaborate on why they felt AI would leave people better off or not. But absent an AI-literate public, the decision of how best to deploy AI will fall to special interests. These systems are globally networked and not easy to regulate or rein in. … Automated warfare – when autonomous weapons kill human beings without human engagement – can lead to a lack of responsibility for taking the enemy’s life or even knowledge that an enemy’s life has been taken. That’s how companies need to think of AI. Movies like I, Robot are science fiction, with an emphasis on the word fiction. They were also enthusiastic about AI’s role in contributing to broad public-health programs built around massive amounts of data that may be captured in the coming years about everything from personal genomes to nutrition. The problem is not with AI but with humans. Will this mean equitable deployment, the amelioration of social injustice and AI in the public service? Or is it most likely that advancing AI and related technology systems will lessen human autonomy and agency to such an extent that most people will not be better off than the way things are today?”. Decision-making on key aspects of digital life is automatically ceded to code-driven, "black box" tools. The rise of AI now seems inevitable with many experts, including Stephen Hawking, stating the invention of smart machines will be the biggest ever impact on humanity. Reorganize economic and political systems toward the goal of expanding humans' capacities and capabilities in order to heighten human/AI collaboration and staunch trends that would compromise human relevance in the face of programmed intelligence. Additionally, a number of these experts predicted that AI would abet long-anticipated changes in formal and informal education systems. I had a chance to sit down with Mikhail Naumov, the Co-Founder, and Chief Strategy officer of DigitalGenius, to talk about AI and its impact on business. So, while Hollywood paints a wildly unrealistic picture of robots taking the jobs of humans, we know that this is simply not realistic. AI-enabled robots are taking over menial and monotonous tasks. My other primary concern is to do with surveillance and control. Assuming we can contain or control AI (and not the other way around), the answer to whether we’ll be better off depends entirely on us (or our progeny). Humans have to become more standardized, removing serendipity and ambiguity from our interactions. Overall, and despite the downsides they fear, 63% of respondents in this canvassing said they are hopeful that most individuals will be mostly better off in 2030, and 37% said people will not be better off. After all new inventions took jobs from humans since the invention of the wheels. As emerging algorithm-driven artificial intelligence (AI) continues to spread, will people be better off than they are today? Naumov believes that today’s version of AI in the customer support world is good for very narrowly focused tasks, such as helping a customer quickly change a billing address or updating credit card information. Because the answer to this question is social rather than technological, I’m pessimistic. Will the machine become so powerful that it begins to think to a point where it is more capable than the humans? Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. The remainder of this report is divided into three sections that draw from hundreds of additional respondents’ hopeful and critical observations: 1) concerns about human-AI evolution, 2) suggested solutions to address AI’s impact, and 3) expectations of what life will be like in 2030, including respondents’ positive outlooks on the quality of life and the future of work, health care and education. “Will it happen in the way they show it in the movies? Unfortunately, there are certain trend lines that are likely to create massive instability. Most people believe this to be an impossibility as they are convinced that machines can never be smarter than computers. Autonomy and/or independence will be sacrificed and replaced by convenience. Notice, I said capable, not powerful. Most people – and parts of the world – will be worse off.”, William Uricchio, media scholar and professor of comparative media studies at MIT, commented, “AI and its related applications face three problems: development at the speed of Moore’s Law, development in the hands of a technological and economic elite, and development without benefit of an informed or engaged public. Ask an expert in AI when the robots will take over the world and they are likely to give you a wry smile. Concerns about human agency, evolution and survival. We need to address a difficult truth that few are willing to utter aloud: AI will eventually cause a large number of people to be permanently out of work. Digital life is augmenting human capacities and disrupting eons-old human activities. We are also empathic, community minded and … As a customer service and experience expert, I help organizations create amazing customer and employee. On the other hand, many will be freed from mundane, unengaging tasks/jobs. As we move farther into this third era of computing, and as every single industry becomes more deeply entrenched with AI systems, we will need new hybrid-skilled knowledge workers who can operate in jobs that have never needed to exist before. Code-driven systems have spread to more than half of the world’s inhabitants in ambient information and connectivity, offering previously unimagined opportunities and unprecedented threats. AI and advancing technologies will change our response framework and time frames (which in turn, changes our sense of time). At work, bots will run meetings. Artificially intelligent companions will cultivate the impression that social goals similar to our own motivate them – to be held in good regard, whether as a beloved friend, an admired boss, etc. Most AI tools are and will be in the hands of companies striving for profits or governments striving for power. AI, machine learning and robotics are evolving rapidly creating questions as whether in future robots will take over humans or not.Right now, robots are performing thousands of tasks and they have spread throughout the world. Elon Musk believes it’s highly likely that artificial intelligence (AI) will be a threat to people. There is also a real likelihood that there will exist sharper divisions between digital ‘haves’ and ‘have-nots,’ as well as among technologically dependent digital infrastructures. Recently famous individuals working on technology commented on the future of AI and humans on media channels, creating an echo of worries. This can and must be done at all levels, from government, to business, to academia, and to individual choices.”, Bryan Johnson, founder and CEO of Kernel, a leading developer of advanced neural interfaces, and OS Fund, a venture capital firm, said, “I strongly believe the answer depends on whether we can shift our economic systems toward prioritizing radical human improvement and staunching the trend toward human irrelevance in the face of AI. Who will benefit and who will be disadvantaged in this new world depends on how broadly we analyze these questions today, for the future.”, We need to work aggressively to make sure technology matches our values.Erik Brynjolfsson, Erik Brynjolfsson, director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy and author of “Machine, Platform, Crowd: Harnessing Our Digital Future,” said, “AI and related technologies have already achieved superhuman performance in many areas, and there is little doubt that their capabilities will improve, probably very significantly, by 2030. … I think it is more likely than not that we will use this power to make the world a better place. No doubt computers are more powerful at giving us answers faster than human brainpower, but are they more capable? At the same time, the computer can also give the CSR suggested answers to the customer’s issues. (+1) 202-857-8562 | Fax As societies we will be less affected by this as we currently are, as we will not be doing the fighting and killing ourselves. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. Adopt a 'moonshot mentality' to build inclusive, decentralized intelligent digital networks 'imbued with empathy' that help humans aggressively ensure that technology meets social and ethical responsibilities. Ways must be found for people around the world to come to common understandings and agreements - to join forces to facilitate the innovation of widely accepted approaches aimed at tackling wicked problems and maintaining control over complex human-digital networks. The famous theoretical physicist, Stephen Hawking, has revived the debate on whether our search for improved artificial intelligence will one day lead to thinking machines that will take over … – which creates a tradeoff of more help requires more intrusion. In the future will Artificial intelligent beings take over humanity? This is especially good since it will restore the earth. Many shared deep worries, and many also suggested pathways toward solutions. Yet, most experts, regardless of whether they are optimistic or not, expressed concerns about the long-term impact of these new tools on the essential elements of being human. Values and ethics are often not baked into the digital systems making people's decisions for them. And this ambiguity and complexity is what is the essence of being human.”, Judith Donath, author of “The Social Machine, Designs for Living Online” and faculty fellow at Harvard University’s Berkman Klein Center for Internet & Society, commented, “By 2030, most social situations will be facilitated by bots – intelligent-seeming programs that interact with us in human-like ways. I don’t mean just jobs; I mean true, existential irrelevance, which is the end result of not prioritizing human well-being and cognition.”, Marina Gorbis, executive director of the Institute for the Future, said, “Without significant changes in our political economy and data governance regimes [AI] is likely to create greater economic inequalities, more surveillance and more programmed and non-human-centric interactions. For several decades now, there has been a raging discussion about whether robots or AI will take over humanity. Everything from gunpowder to internal combustion engines to nuclear fission has been applied in both helpful and destructive ways. The question of its value has always been dependent on its application. His best recommendation for today’s version of AI is to have it support the customer service representative (CSR). Newer generations of citizens will become more and more dependent on networked AI structures and processes. It’s easy to look back on history through the lens of present – and to overlook the social unrest caused by widespread technological unemployment. Adding to the ambiguity, our own communication will be heavily augmented: Programs will compose many of our messages and our online/AR appearance will [be] computationally crafted. A bot confidant will be considered essential for psychological well-being, and we’ll increasingly turn to such companions for advice ranging from what to wear to whom to marry. That’s what people worry about. Aided by their access to vast troves of data about each of us, bots will far surpass humans in their ability to attract and persuade us. Just as generations before witnessed sweeping changes during and in the aftermath of the Industrial Revolution, the rapid pace of technology will likely mean that Baby Boomers and the oldest members of Gen X – especially those whose jobs can be replicated by robots – won’t be able to retrain for other kinds of work without a significant investment of time and effort.”, Barry Chudakov, founder and principal of Sertain Research, commented, “By 2030 the human-machine/AI collaboration will be a necessary tool to manage and counter the effects of multiple simultaneous accelerations: broad technology advancement, globalization, climate change and attendant global migrations. We won’t need to prepare our workforce just once, with a few changes to the curriculum. 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